A systematic review on the performance of fracture risk assessment tools: FRAX, DeFRA, FRA-HS.

PURPOSE: Preventing fragility fractures by treating osteoporosis may reduce disability and mortality worldwide. Algorithms combining clinical risk factors with bone mineral density have been developed to better estimate fracture risk and possible treatment thresholds. This systematic review supported panel members of the Italian Fragility Fracture Guidelines in recommending the use of best-performant tool. The clinical performance of the three most used fracture risk assessment tools (DeFRA, FRAX, and FRA-HS) was assessed in at-risk patients. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched till December 2020 for studies investigating risk assessment tools for predicting major osteoporotic or hip fractures in patients with osteoporosis or fragility fractures. Sensitivity (Sn), specificity (Sp), and areas under the curve (AUCs) were evaluated for all tools at different thresholds. Quality assessment was performed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2; certainty of evidence (CoE) was evaluated using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach. RESULTS: Forty-three articles were considered (40, 1, and 2 for FRAX, FRA-HS, and DeFRA, respectively), with the CoE ranging from very low to high quality. A reduction of Sn and increase of Sp for major osteoporotic fractures were observed among women and the entire population with cut-off augmentation. No significant differences were found on comparing FRAX to DeFRA in women (AUC 59-88% vs. 74%) and diabetics (AUC 73% vs. 89%). FRAX demonstrated non-significantly better discriminatory power than FRA-HS among men. CONCLUSION: The task force formulated appropriate recommendations on the use of any fracture risk assessment tools in patients with or at risk of fragility fractures, since no statistically significant differences emerged across different prediction tools.

Duration of treatment for osteoporosis.

Many treatments for postmenopausal osteoporosis with proven efficacy in lowering fracture risk had become available since many years now. In the last few years the issue about treatment duration has become a matter of importance. In this paper the pivotal trials for alendronate, risedronate, zoledronate and other anti reabsorptive drugs such as denosumab are revised with particular attention to the extension studies aimed to verify the effect of drug discontinuation. The results of the review highlight differences among the available drugs and the practical clinical consequences also in terms of cost-effectiveness.

The assessment of vertebral fractures in elderly women with recent hip fractures: the BREAK Study.

UNLABELLED: This study aimed to evaluate the prevalence of vertebral fractures in elderly women with a recent hip fracture. The burden of vertebral fractures expressed by the Spinal Deformity Index (SDI) is more strictly associated with the trochanteric than the cervical localization of hip fracture and may influence short-term functional outcomes. INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to determine the prevalence and severity of vertebral fractures in elderly women with recent hip fracture and to assess whether the burden of vertebral fractures may be differently associated with trochanteric hip fractures with respect to cervical hip fractures. METHODS: We studied 689 Italian women aged 60 years or over with a recent low trauma hip fracture and for whom an adequate X-ray evaluation of spine was available. All radiographs were examined centrally for the presence of any vertebral deformities and radiological morphometry was performed. The SDI, which integrates both the number and the severity of fractures, was also calculated. RESULTS: Prevalent vertebral fractures were present in 55.7% of subjects and 95 women (13.7%) had at least one severe fracture. The women with trochanteric hip fracture showed higher SDI and higher prevalence of diabetes with respect to those with cervical hip fracture, p=0.017 and p=0.001, respectively. SDI, surgical menopause, family history of fragility fracture, and type2 diabetes mellitus were independently associated with the risk of trochanteric hip fracture. Moreover, a higher SDI was associated with a higher percentage of post-surgery complications (p=0.05) and slower recovery (p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that the burden of prevalent vertebral fractures is more strictly associated with the trochanteric than the cervical localisation of hip fracture and that elevated values of SDI negatively influence short term functional outcomes in women with hip fracture.

Adherence to therapeutic and diagnostic recommendations in patients with femur fracture and at risk of re-fracture or death: results of an analysis of administrative databases.

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the application into clinical practice of therapeutic and diagnostic recommendations for the prevention of bone re-fracture in postmenopausal women after an hospitalization for hip fracture in clinical practice and to assess the relationship between the application of diagnostic recommendations and re-fracture or death risk. A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted. All female patients, at least 65 years old, and with an hospitalization with main or secondary diagnosis of hip fracture during the period 1 January 2006 - 31 December 2008, were included. Besides demographic characteristics and comorbidities, drug treatment prescriptions related to bone fracture or supplementary with calcium or vitamin D and prescriptions of recommended laboratory and instrumental diagnostic tests (e.g. spine radiography), were analysed. A total of 5,636 patients were included in the study. The prescription of a drug treatment aimed to reduce the risk of re-fracture was found in 16.3% of patients, among them 76.3% (699 patients) used bisphosphonates only, 17.1% (157 patients) strontium ranelate only and 4.9% (45 patients) used more than one treatment during the observation period. Among the patients who did not receive drug treatment, 17.5% made use of only supplemental calcium and vitamin D. The remaining part of patients (69.1%) received no treatment. The prescription of at least one laboratory test of first and second level was performed, respectively, on 53.7% and 43.1% of included patients, whereas the prescription of at least one instrumental test of first and second level was performed, respectively, on 5.9% and 0.8%. Although it is established that the prescription of the recommended tests and appropriate drug treatment are significantly associated with reduced risk of re-fracture and death, today the application of these recommendations is reduced.

Validation and further development of the WHO 10-year fracture risk assessment tool in Italian postmenopausal women: project rationale and description.

The threshold for pharmacological intervention for osteoporosis remains controversial. Tools predicting the future risk of new fractures are increasingly used to establish a convenient individual risk/benefit ratio for a long term treatment. FRAX® is likely to become the most widely used tool for assessing fracture risk also for the WHO endorsement. The inevitable limitations will not hamper its value. As for any tool like this a continuous process of validation and further development is highly warranted. The predictive and clinical value of FRAX® has to be tested in individual countries by exploring also the inclusion of additional specific relatively uncommon risk factors. The DeFRA project is intended to validate in a large cohort of postmenopausal women a new algorithm derived from FRAX®. Both, the coefficients of continuous variable and the gradients for clinical risk factors should not be considered as conclusive for the routine clinical use. The new tool will be offered for the routine clinical use only at the completion of the DeFRA project, requiring the prospective collection of at least 60.000 patient-years. Here we report the rational and the design of the project.

Hip fractures in Italy: 2000-2005 extension study.

SUMMARY: A total of 507,671 people > or =65 experienced hip fractures between 2000 and 2005. In 2005, 94,471 people > or =65 were hospitalized due to hip fractures, corresponding to a 28.5% increase over 6 years. Most fractures occurred in patients > or =75 (82.9%; n = 420,890; +16% across 6 years), particularly in women (78.2%; n = 396,967). INTRODUCTION: We aimed to analyze incidence and costs of hip fractures in Italy over the last 6 years. METHODS: We analyzed the national hospitalization and DRG databases concerning fractures occurred in people > or =65 between 2000 and 2005. RESULTS: A total of 507,671 people > or =65 experienced hip fractures across 6 years, resulting in about 120,000 deaths. In year 2005 94,471 people aged > or =65 were hospitalized due to hip fractures, corresponding to a 28.5% increase over 6 years. The majority of hip fractures occurred in patients > or =75 (82.9%; n = 420,890; +16% across 6 years) and particularly in women (78.2%; n = 396,967). Among women, 84.2% of fractures (n = 334,223; +28.0% over 6 years) were experienced by patients > or =75, which is known to be the age group with the highest prevalence of osteoporosis, accounting for 68.6% of the overall observed increase in the total number of fractures. Hip fractures in men > or =75 increased by 33.1% (up to 16,540). Hospitalization costs increased across the six examined years (+36.1%) reaching 467 million euros in 2005, while rehabilitation costs rose up to 531 million in the same year. CONCLUSIONS: Hip fractures of the elderly are increasing and represent a major health problem in industrialized countries such as Italy.

Incidence and costs of hip fractures compared to acute myocardial infarction in the Italian population: a 4-year survey.

INTRODUCTION: Few data are available about the incidence and costs of hip fractures in Italy. We aimed to determine the impact of hip fractures vs. acute myocardial infarction (AMI). METHODS: We studied the national hospitalization database to calculate their incidence and costs in adults aged >or=45 between 1999 and 2002. RESULTS: In 2002, there were 86,719 hip fractures with a 10.0% increase over 4 years. We observed a predominance of women (77.1%) and a strong age effect: 92.7% of patients were >or=65 years old and 80% of fractures occurred in women aged >or=75, showing a clear relationship with the incidence of osteoporosis. Hospitalizations due to AMI after 45 years of age in 1999 were only 9% higher than those for hip fracture, although this difference increased over the 4 examined years up to 24%. Considering the DRGs costs, hip fractures resulted in being more expensive than AMI overall and concerning elderly people. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that in the Italian population aged >or=45, hospitalizations following hip fracture and AMI between 1999 and 2002 were comparable, while hip fractures' direct costs were higher and grew faster than costs for AMI. Hip fractures in Italy are a serious medical problem and a leading health-cost driver.

[Incidence and socioeconomic burden of hip fractures in Italy]. / Incidenza e costi delle fratture di femore in Italia.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate the trend of the incidence and costs of hip fractures in Italy. METHODS: The incidence of hip fractures after 45 years of age in both females and males during the years 1999-2002 was obtained by analyzing the Italian Ministry of Health national hospitalization database, according to the diagnosis codes of International Classification of Diseases, Clinical Modification, 9th edition (IDC-9-CM) that indicate femoral fracture. We have computed all direct costs sustained by the National Health Service for hospitalization and treatment of hip fractures on the basis of the value of the Diagnosis Related Groups (DRG) referring to hip fractures. The expenses of rehabilitation and indirect expenses were based on estimates. RESULTS: In 2002, more than 86,000 hip fractures were registered in Italy in male and female patients over 45 years old, with 9% progression compared to 1999; 77% were female and 80% were over 75 years of age. In 2002 the direct costs of hospitalization, in the patients over 65 years alone, were almost 400 million euros, with an increase of 15% as compared to 1999. Considering also estimated rehabilitation costs, social aid and indirect costs, we estimate that hip fractures due to age-related osteoporosis created over a billion euros in expenses in 2002. CONCLUSIONS: Preventive intervention regarding the risk of hip fracture in elderly patients is urgent.

A cluster analysis of patients with schizophrenia in community care.

In a sample of patients with schizophrenia, four clusters were identified and service use and relatives' satisfaction analyzed. In the first cluster, patients' severity of illness was mild and their use of services low. In the second, patients' disability was more severe; psychiatric symptoms were low in severity, family burden was moderate, and use of community services was more intensive. In the third cluster, patients had serious disability and severe positive symptoms; their families suffered distressing burdens, and their use of hospital and community services was intensive. In the fourth cluster, patients' disability was very severe, negative symptoms were prominent, and relatives' burden was moderate; use of hospital services was frequent, and use of community services was less so.

[Problems of patients with schizophrenic disorders and of their families]. / I problemi dei pazienti con disturbi schizofrenici e delle loro famiglie.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate psychopathological symptoms, disabilities and family burden in schizophrenic patients and to analyse predictors of family burden and relatives' satisfaction. DESIGN: Descriptive study of 203 patients with an ICD 10--F2 diagnosis (schizophrenia and related disorders) in contact with the Desio Department of Mental Health on 31st December 1994. SETTING: The Desio Department of Mental Health. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The patients have been evaluated in three areas: disability (by ADC-DAS), psychiatric symptoms (by 24 items BPRS) and family burden (by Family Problems questionnaire). The outpatient, hospital and residential care contacts of the patients have been collected for six months by our service information system. For each area (DAS, BPRS and FP) a principal component analysis and a rotation of the significant components have been performed. Eleven factors, derived from three scales, have been retained as explanatory variables. Finally, a multiple regression analysis has been performed to assess the influence of explanatory variables on the set of response variables regarding family burden and relatives' satisfaction. RESULTS: One third of patients suffer of moderate-severe positive symptoms, while negative symptoms are less frequent. Manic symptoms are rare while depressive ones more frequent. Disability, related to work and sexual problems, is frequent; social withdrawn, underactivity, lack of participation in household duties and lack of self care are less frequent. Family burden is severe in one third of relatives, mainly in social relationships. Disability is the main predictor of family burden; manic and positive symptoms, time spent by the carer with the patient and carer's social support are less important. Satisfaction with services is predicted by family burden. CONCLUSIONS: To be more responsive to the needs of patients and relatives we should increase activities in rehabilitation and family support areas. Further analysis of severity of psychosocial and psychiatric problems, based on an epidemiological based sample, could give interesting results on the case-mix of different services.

Computed radiographic absorptiometry and morphometry in the assessment of postmenopausal bone loss.

The best method for the diagnosis of osteoporosis and assessment of fracture risk is currently considered to be bone densitometry. The most commonly used dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) methods may sometimes not predict bone mass accurately in every skeletal site, are expensive and not widely available. The recent development of computed analysis of a plain radiograph of the hand might provide a practical, inexpensive and rapid method for evaluation of bone mineral status. In this study we evaluated 20 healthy premenopausal and 660 postmenopausal women. In 36 of these subjects a second evaluation was carried out after 2 years of therapy with calcium supplements. The internal and external diameters of the second metacarpal and the metacarpal and ultradistal radial bone density were evaluated using a technical device developed in our laboratory and marketed by NIM, Verona, Italy (Osteoradiometer). The radiographic images, captured by a video camera, were digitized and studied by computed analysis. In 150 subjects bone density at the level of the lumbar spine, femur, and ultradistal and proximal radius was also measured by DXA techniques. Both external (D) and internal (d) diameters increase significantly with age and years since menopause (YSM), whereas metacarpal index (D--d/D) and metacarpal and ultradistal radial bone density decrease significantly with age and YSM. The ratio between metacarpal bone mineral content and the cortical area (volumetric metacarpal bone density) did not change with age. Significant correlations were found between radiometric findings and DXA measurements. The best correlation coefficients were between bone density measured at the level of the ultradistal radius by DXA and radiographic absorptiometry. In the 2-year follow-up study, a 4.9% and 6.2% decline in radial metacarpal bone density respectively were observed, but the difference was statistically significant only for the latter. In conclusion, computed radiogrammetry is closely correlated with all DXA measurements and may be useful in screening of large populations, providing a simple, inexpensive and sufficiently precise method for evaluation of bone mineral status. Further studies are warranted for assessing the accuracy of radiogrammetry for longitudinal investigations and its capacity to predict fracture risk.

The radiological assessment of vertebral osteoporosis.

The traditional skeletal X-ray is of little help in quantifying osteopenia in the spine, and indirect criteria, such as increased lucency, loss of horizontal trabeculae and reduction in end-plate thickness with relatively increased opaqueness, can be misleading. However, the clinical expression of osteoporosis is fracture, which can be identified by radiography. Any reduction in the anterior, middle, or total height of the vertebral body should be classified as vertebral fracture. In mild cases, such fractures are not easily detectable, particularly when previous radiographs are not available for comparison. Thus several objective methods for fracture identification have been developed. Most of these methods are based on the ratio between posterior and anterior or middle height (wedge or biconcave deformity, respectively) and on the ratio between posterior height of adjacent vertebrae or with a single vertebral reference (T4). Some of these indices are referred to normal ranges in order to take into account intervertebral and interindividual variability. In 36 women with postmenopausal osteoporosis we have compared the lateral radiographs of lumbar and thoracic spine to similar X-ray pictures taken by chance at least five years before menopause. By defining a fracture as any decrease in vertical height above 1 mm, we found 77 deforming events in 29 out of 36 patients. We then applied some of the methods to identify objectively fractures in our postmenopausal radiographs: the sensitivity of the various systems ranged from 50 to 100%; however there was a large overlap between false positives and false negatives and the methods with the highest sensitivity lack specificity and vice versa.